Old Dominion
W-L: (28-25) PR = 93.3107Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 4, 91.7) 15- 5 214 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 4, 91.7) 15- 5 214 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 4, 91.7) 5- 6 218 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 7- 3 220 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 5- 4 221 H Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 8- 5 221 H Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 5- 4 225 A Norfolk State MEAC ( 2- 3, 87.7) 15- 0 228 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 0-13 301 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 6- 1 306 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 2- 4 307 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 3-14 308 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 6- 5 310 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 0-11 313 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 10- 8 314 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 4-13 315 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 4- 9 320 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 13- 7 321 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 3- 8 322 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 6-10 324 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 3- 6 325 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 7- 2 327 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 3-10 328 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 2- 0 329 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 1-12 331 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 2-16 402 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4-10 403 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 10- 8 404 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 7- 8 407 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 15- 3 410 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 1- 3 411 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 4- 1 412 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 5- 7 415 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 10- 9 417 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 8- 3 418 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 7- 6 419 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 6- 3 421 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 9-19 424 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 10- 2 425 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4-10 426 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 7- 8 428 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 7- 6 501 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 8- 0 501 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 0- 6 503 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5- 4 505 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 7- 5 508 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 8-16 509 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 6- 3 510 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 9- 2 514 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 5-12 515 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 10- 1 516 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 3- 7 519 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 1-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Quinnipiac 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.72
214 H Quinnipiac 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.72
214 H Quinnipiac 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.28
218 A Winthrop 7- 3 4 1 + 3.42
220 A Purdue 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.71
221 H Niagara 8- 5 3 5 -1.93
221 H Niagara 5- 4 1 5 - -3.93
225 A Norfolk State 15- 0 15 5 +++ 9.11
228 H Charlotte 0-13 -13 0 --- -12.87
301 A South Florida 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.95
306 A Michigan State 2- 4 -2 -2 0.41
307 H UConn 3-14 -11 0 --- -10.63
308 H UConn 6- 5 1 0 1.37
310 A East Carolina 0-11 -11 -4 --- -6.90
313 A Troy 10- 8 2 -4 ++ 5.59
314 A Troy 4-13 -9 -4 -- -5.41
315 A Troy 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.41
320 H App State 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.19
321 A Houston 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.04
322 H App State 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.81
324 H William & Mary 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.47
325 A Richmond 7- 2 5 2 + 3.19
327 A South Alabama 3-10 -7 -3 -- -4.44
328 A South Alabama 2- 0 2 -3 ++ 4.56
329 A South Alabama 1-12 -11 -3 --- -8.44
331 A Virginia 2-16 -14 -3 --- -10.53
402 H Southern Miss 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.36
403 H Southern Miss 10- 8 2 -3 ++ 4.64
404 H Southern Miss 7- 8 -1 -3 1.64
407 H High Point 15- 3 12 1 +++ 11.29
410 H Campbell 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.62
411 A Marshall 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.83
412 A Marshall 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.17
415 H Richmond 10- 9 1 3 - -2.16
417 H Georgia Southern 8- 3 5 2 + 2.92
418 H Georgia Southern 7- 6 1 2 -1.08
419 H Georgia Southern 6- 3 3 2 0.92
421 H East Carolina 9-19 -10 -3 --- -7.25
424 A Georgia State 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 9.00
425 A Georgia State 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.00
426 A Georgia State 7- 8 -1 -1 0.00
428 H VCU 7- 6 1 0 1.24
501 H Arkansas State 8- 0 8 -2 +++ 9.54
501 H Arkansas State 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.46
503 H Arkansas State 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.54
505 H Richmond 7- 5 2 3 -1.16
508 A Coastal Carolina 8-16 -8 -3 -- -5.15
509 A Coastal Carolina 6- 3 3 -3 ++ 5.85
510 A Coastal Carolina 9- 2 7 -3 +++ 9.85
514 A App State 5-12 -7 -3 -- -4.46
515 A Clemson 10- 1 9 -3 +++ 12.01
516 H Janes Madison 3- 7 -4 2 -- -5.89
519 H Georgia State 1-17 -16 0 --- -14.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Charlotte 0-13 -13 0 --- -12.87 307 H UConn 3-14 -11 0 --- -10.63 310 A East Carolina 0-11 -11 -4 --- -6.90 329 A South Alabama 1-12 -11 -3 --- -8.44 331 A Virginia 2-16 -14 -3 --- -10.53 421 H East Carolina 9-19 -10 -3 --- -7.25 519 H Georgia State 1-17 -16 0 --- -14.35 314 A Troy 4-13 -9 -4 -- -5.41 324 H William & Mary 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.47 327 A South Alabama 3-10 -7 -3 -- -4.44 425 A Georgia State 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.00 501 H Arkansas State 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.46 508 A Coastal Carolina 8-16 -8 -3 -- -5.15 514 A App State 5-12 -7 -3 -- -4.46 516 H Janes Madison 3- 7 -4 2 -- -5.89 214 H Quinnipiac 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.28 221 H Niagara 5- 4 1 5 - -3.93 321 A Houston 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.04 322 H App State 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.81 402 H Southern Miss 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.36 415 H Richmond 10- 9 1 3 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Quinnipiac 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.72 214 H Quinnipiac 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.72 225 A Norfolk State 15- 0 15 5 +++ 9.11 301 A South Florida 6- 1 5 -2 +++ 6.95 320 H App State 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.19 407 H High Point 15- 3 12 1 +++ 11.29 424 A Georgia State 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 9.00 501 H Arkansas State 8- 0 8 -2 +++ 9.54 510 A Coastal Carolina 9- 2 7 -3 +++ 9.85 515 A Clemson 10- 1 9 -3 +++ 12.01 220 A Purdue 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.71 313 A Troy 10- 8 2 -4 ++ 5.59 328 A South Alabama 2- 0 2 -3 ++ 4.56 403 H Southern Miss 10- 8 2 -3 ++ 4.64 509 A Coastal Carolina 6- 3 3 -3 ++ 5.85 218 A Winthrop 7- 3 4 1 + 3.42 325 A Richmond 7- 2 5 2 + 3.19 411 A Marshall 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.83 417 H Georgia Southern 8- 3 5 2 + 2.92 503 H Arkansas State 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.54 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Quinnipiac ( 3- 4, 91.7) 15- 5 -8.19 10.23 -0.68 0.55 10.43
3 H Quinnipiac ( 3- 4, 91.7) 15- 5 -8.19 10.23 -0.68 0.55 10.43
3 H Quinnipiac ( 3- 4, 91.7) 5- 6 -8.19 10.23 -0.68 0.55 -2.42
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 7- 3 -7.84 10.58 0.68 0.55 12.29
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 5- 4 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.55 16.97
3 H Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 8- 5 -10.85 7.58 -0.68 0.55 7.53
3 H Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 5- 4 -10.85 7.58 -0.68 0.55 7.53
3 A Norfolk State ( 2- 3, 87.7) 15- 0 -12.15 6.27 0.68 0.55 7.59
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 0-13 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.55 -1.76
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 6- 1 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.55 15.04
3 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 2- 4 -4.86 13.57 0.68 0.55 -1.14
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 3-14 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.55 -1.70
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 6- 5 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.55 13.32
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 0-11 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.55 -0.68
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 10- 8 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.55 16.83
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 4-13 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.55 -0.82
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 4- 9 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.55 -0.82
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 13- 7 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.55 14.22
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 3- 8 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.55 -1.26
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 6-10 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.55 -1.47
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 3- 6 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.55 -2.47
3 A Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 7- 2 -9.07 9.35 0.68 0.55 10.94
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 3-10 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.55 -1.10
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 2- 0 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.55 15.71
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 1-12 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.55 -1.10
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 2-16 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.55 -0.85
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4-10 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.55 -1.08
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 10- 8 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.55 15.80
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 7- 8 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.55 -1.08
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 15- 3 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.55 12.15
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 1- 3 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.55 -1.42
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 4- 1 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.55 13.82
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 5- 7 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.55 -1.57
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 10- 9 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 0.55 9.47
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 8- 3 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.55 10.65
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 7- 6 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.55 10.65
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 6- 3 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.55 10.65
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 9-19 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.55 -1.05
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 10- 2 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.55 14.01
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4-10 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.55 -1.52
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 7- 8 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.55 -1.52
3 H VCU (10-10, 94.2) 7- 6 -5.68 12.75 -0.68 0.55 13.18
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 8- 0 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.55 14.60
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 0- 6 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.55 -1.38
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 5- 4 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.55 14.60
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 7- 5 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 0.55 9.47
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 8-16 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.55 -1.02
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 6- 3 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.55 16.03
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 9- 2 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.55 16.03
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 5-12 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.55 -1.10
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 10- 1 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.55 16.20
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 3- 7 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.55 -2.31
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 1-17 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.55 -1.89
------
321.59
|
winning pts = 356.1367 losing points = -34.5469
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------